The Top Ten Best Investments You Will Ever Make

The Top Ten Best Investments You Will Ever Make

An Essay on Wealth, Time, and the Architecture of a Life

We spend much of adulthood thinking about “investments” — the ones we should have made, the ones we regret, the ones we hope will finally deliver. But the truth is that the highest‑yield investments are rarely the ones your bank manager talks about. They are the ones that compound across decades, protect your future, and shape the lives of the people you love.

This is not a list of financial products. It is a list of the ten most powerful ways a human being can invest in their future — in money, in time, in health, and in eternity.

Most of these assume that you have cleared any interest-bearing debts, and that you want to create a store of wealth so that loved ones can have ongoing security after your own upgrade. Then the final, bonus one is about the actual upgrade.

None of this is personal financial advice and so you can’t sue me for anything. If you want some good advice, you should find a properly licensed accountant in each of the jurisdictions where you have a footprint. Usually that will be money well spent.

10. Your Home

A house is more than a structure. It is the anchor of your life: the place where your children grow, where your memories accumulate, where your identity settles. Financially, it is the quiet compounding engine that works even when you are not paying attention. Inflation lifts it. Scarcity protects it. And unlike most assets, you can live inside it.

A home that you love and a place you can feel safe and well is a baseline for many other of life’s good things.

A house is the first investment that teaches you the difference between price and value.

For most people, especially of an Anglo-Saxon mindset, the home is the biggest investment that they knowingly make, but in fact it is ony number ten on my list here today.

In many countries mortgage lending is the cheapest form of lending and also come with tax incentives, however one still has to avoid making basic errors around the mortgage loan. Such as, taking so-called “endowment” or “interest-only” mortgages, or mortgages framed in a currency which you have no natural hedge for, such as the Swiss franc mortgages that used to be popular in Poland.
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What is “break-even point” in accounting?

People talk about break-even analysis, but do they have the necessary apparatus in their management accounts to make this metric meaningful?

What it is

The idea of “break-even point” is the number of units needed to be produced and sold for the contribution (“Contribution” in accounting means revenue minus variable cost) generated to cover the fixed costs of the business. In a service business the units of production could be hours sold of advice, number of haircuts given, km driven with clients in a taxi, etc. What you get paid for in terms of “per”, that’s your unit and that’s what your break-even point will be expressed in. It’s not a money measure usually, unless you are doing it for a bank or a foreign exchange counter.

In business which are made up of numerous products and/or services, which are handles in a dissimilar way, the overall break-even point cannot be shown because not everything will be in the same unit of measure. Even when they are, the way in which they are buit up may differ. Where you have a complex organisation you have to find a way to apportion the fixed and the variable costs to individual products or services and even to individual projects. There is not one single approach to how to do that, which is why break-even point is not normally used as a measure to compare one company to another, but

Having correct data is critical to any decision making, and break-even anysis is no expection.
Having correct data is critical to any decision making, and break-even analysis is no exception.

much more frequently as a decision criteria for management within one company, and especially as a “go/no-go” criterion for projects. In Japan, at five o’clock in the afternoon, when deciding to go/no go home, for instance, they could say “o no, gogo no goji no go/nogo desu”, for example. And then stay at work until they can break even on inemuri production.

The biggest hurdle in this is that costs are not always strictly either fixed or variable, you also get step costs, which go up in blocks so that on a graph they look like stairs. The best way to find the break even point is indeed to draw a graph or get Excel to do it, and also bear in mind that with increased volumes there can be a reduction (or sometimes an increase) in marginal cost and revenues. You can also find that a resource needed for the production is limited so that the actual break-even point, that number of units, isn’t achievable. An example of this is where you cannot get another machine and there are simply not enough hours in the day for the machine you have to make the units. And interesting analysis sets out the fixed costs first of all and then works out what the capacity is for this set of fixed costs, you then put the cost and revenue lines in for that range of production volumes. Then you can see if you achieve break-even or not.

Not the be-all and end-all

Break-even analysis is a very useful tool but isn’t the be-all and end-all of management decision making, as Macbethad mac Findláech, a noted Scottish management guru, puts it.  It is one weapon in a big arsenal. I knew one manager, who shall remain nameless, who swore by that one metric. Needless to say, you won’t have heard of him even if I were inclined to divulge his identity. He went a bit overboard on this one criterion even though his management accounting wasn’t really geared up to give him the information he needed to find this metric, as a result of which he regularly made sub-optimal decisions and ended up very frustrated and now he makes hamburgers in the park in the summer and goes to sleep at the end of the hamburger season, like a bear, only to awaken and make more hamburgers for park visitors every spring, because he cannot break-even with the numbers of hamburgers people will buy in parks in the winter. Even in Hamburg.

I said to him “Sproey, you are never going to be able to work with this metric unless you first make sure your management accounting is geared up to give you the accurate cost information you need to get to the figure propely. Let me re-design your management accounting plan of accounts and policies, and then the analysis of costs will be what you need”. Had he listened to me then, he would not need to hibernate in the woods for half a year every year now.

Have you ever quit a job and walked out without giving any notice? What caused you to leave so urgently?

Have you ever quit a job and walked out without giving any notice? What caused you to leave so urgently?

Well I did one time, because the boss who was also a close friend (which can be complicated) got many months behind on paying me. This was “constructive dismissal” in the jurisdiction concerned so I could leave the moment I liked. I didn’t want any discussion so I just came in at a weekend, fished the fish out of my office fishtank and took them home, and took all my other personal belongings home. I took the computer and car from the company that I had been using as lien against the debt, and later we agreed on a payment plan which involved me taking ownership of those assets as part of paying off the debt to me and me forgiving part, and an instalment plan with interest for a third part, but already I had to work elsewhere. Obviously I had got the new role sorted prior to walking out the door.

I did not steal his clients or run on his business although some who wanted to come to me did come over and I declared these in every case.

Ten years down the line I am trying again with the same boss, as he seems to have learned his lesson and we both missed the good times we had working together. But he knows how I will react if he ever does that again, and so he will make every effort not to.

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Fragment from my Lecture “Importance of Properly Prepared Assumptions in Business Modelling”

Fragment from my Lecture “Importance of Properly Prepared Assumptions in Business Modelling”

Original YT playout date: 21 August 2010
Duration: 1:01:41

What this lecture is for

This is the first hour of my lecturing this year (fourth year running) for the Cambridge Python project. It is an incubator scheme, which we do under the aegis of Cambridge University and the British Embassy in Poland. Students from all the Polish Universities can apply with a business idea. If they work hard they can take their idea through all the steps, and produce a business model using the method I teach them.  These are the finalists who’ve already whittled themselves down to a lecture-room-full, and these teams get to present their idea to a panel of real business angels. If they can convince them to invest, then their dreams of owning their own business will become a reality.

First they need to go through very intensive training from me and also from people from the global Management Consultancy firm McKinsey & Company and do homework to ensure that their projects are really state-of-the-art. Now I would be the first to admit that these days this modelling is nothing so impressive, but it was very good at the time. These young people, those who paid proper attention, learned some serious investing skills and what I tell about assumptions is a good mental model which is reasonably timeless.

Why Cambridge pythons?

Here the lecture is hosted by the Polish Academy of Sciences’ Institute of Mathematics. The hall seats about 120 and was packed with finalists some of whom had come from distant parts of the country, and the session lasted three hours with one break.

Cambridge Python is so called because the Pythons of comedy came from Cambridge, but so does the idea of “pythoning”. Pythons are the only snakes that look after their young rather than leave them to fate. Therefore, business pythons are people who break the mould of the uncaring business dog-eat-dog approach and are ready to nurture young entrepreneurs on a pro-bono basis.
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My supervisor insists I make jam for each person. How can I get out of this?

I gave some home made jam to a co-worker who had given me fruit. He shared it in the break room. My supervisor went to each worker and asked what jam they wanted me to make, and insists I make jam for each person. How can I get out of this?

The colleagues are ex-pectin some of this jammy goodness! It may jar with them that they need to a-peel to your better nature, but marmalade than never!

Always ex-pectin, never res-pectin

One tried and tested way of getting out of making jam is to promise it for tomorrow. This method is attested in literature. When tomorrow happens you say to them, that’s right, I said it will be jam tomorrow, and it’s not tomorrow now, it’s today. It’s always jam tomorrow and never jam today.

The big difference

Of course, the big difference is, you were paid for the first lot in fruit. Some of the fruit went into the jam. Now you can easily make the same out of the fruit these others have given you, namely nothing. You can call it K-lear jam. It will, after all, be totally clear and transparent, for ‘nothing will come of nothing’.

Enjoy this carbohydrate-dense moody pic of a marmelade jar by Amanda Slater.

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